Using accurate data to minimise your risk in the grain market

Who we are

Using accurate research and market analysis, we take the complexity and noise out of the grain market.  We tailor our grain marketing advice to your personal requirements, setting reasonable personal targets to increase profitability but also reduce risk. Opinions are great, but we use the data!

Who you are

We adapt our grain marketing services to meet your needs within the grain industry. Whether you are a corporate business looking to improve business strategies, a farmer who grows grain or dairy farmer looking to lower your outgoing costs, we have a solution for you. Through market analysis we aim to reduce cost, reduce risk and thus improve your margins.

About

About Lachstock

Minimise your risk whilst maximising your return

Lachstock was founded in 2007 a result of the deregulation of the grain market. The grain market experienced changes to procurement, distribution, product release and an increase in grain price volatility. With more participants and products hitting the market the buying and selling of grain became a complex process.

Lachstock uses analytical research rather than a salesperson with a silver tongue. Taking the complexity and noise out of the market whilst tailoring our advice to your personal requirements. We analyse the prior data and set reasonable personal targets to increase profitability but also reduce risk.

Lachstock Consulting holds an AFSL #320 562 to provide advice to wholesale clients on derivatives and foreign exchange.

Lachstock provides services to both corporate clients and farmers. Tailoring our solutions to your needs.

RESEARCH

Example Barley Supply & Demand Report

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11th September 2019

Australia:

It can be amazing how quickly crop conditions change – just 2-3 weeks ago Lachstock was looking to push our barley crop estimate towards 9.5 MMT. However, since then, we’ve seen the recent drier weather conditions add significant stress and pull back potentials across almost all of the country. In some areas (central WA in particular) this has been compounded by the recent abnormally hot weather. Over on the east coast there’s also been a significant further increase to haying intentions across southern NSW, reducing the area likely to be harvested for grain. Although adjustments do vary by region, in net we’ve cut our WA estimate just under 100 KMT to 3.7 MMT, SA 100 KMT to 2.0 MMT, VIC 100 KMT to 2.4 MMT, and NSW by 200 KMT to 0.5 MMT.

There is further downside potential from this level (penciling “reasonable” cuts we see the possibility for a further ~500 KMT potential loss by our next S&D update, if weather conditions do not improve). With current weather outlooks we are on the verge of damage in the more southern areas of WA/VIC that (largely) have not been as significantly stressed yet. We also make note that, from a pure weather point of view…

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